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Marathon Oil is a global integrated energy company that drills for, refines and sells oil and natural gas . Although the company sells some of the crude oil that it produces to other refineries, it makes most of its money from the sale of its finished petroleum products (gasoline, lubricants, heating oil) to resellers and to consumers through its own retail locations. The critical shortage of refining capacity within the U.S., where strict environmental regulations have prevented the construction of new refineries since 1976, and growing oil demand have supported healthy refining and marketing margins in recent years. Moreover, as oil prices have continued to rise, labor and technologically intensive projects such as deep sea drilling and oil sands have become more economically feasible. Marathon, seeking to take advantage of these circumstances, purchased Western Oil Sands, a Canadian oil sands producer, in 2007 and is expanding its operations in West Africa and oil-rich Libya.

Contents

[edit] Business Financials

Steady increases in global crude prices affects Marathon in a two-fold manner; higher crude prices benefits its E&P segment which sells crude to refineries, however, their refineries incur higher operating expenses as a result. Over 2004-2006 range, revenues growth has outpaced operating expense increases leading a 315% jump in net income from 2004 to 2006.[1]


Marathon's operations include a seven-plant refining network with 974,000 barrels per day of crude oil throughput.[3] In 2006, Marathon experienced a record year in crude oil and total throughput as well as product yield while minimizing downtime. [4] With the majority of the business generated from the R&M segment, Marathon must ensure that its refineries remain in top condition.


In 2006:

  • the upstream (E&P segment) accounted for 42% of total income.[6]
  • the downstream segment (refining segment) accounted for 58% of total income.[7]

[edit] Key Trends/Forces

[edit] Focus on Upstream Growth

Although Marathon is small compared to Exxon Mobil (XOM) or ChevronTexaco (CVX), it is focused on growing its upstream E&P segment to reap the profits of a high-price oil environment. Marathon is choosing focus on developing a large presence in select geographic areas with proven trends in Norway, Equatorial Guinea, Angola and the Gulf of Mexico.

[edit] Jumping on the Ethanol Bandwagon

Marathon is well-poised to benefit from a rise in ethanol, which is becoming an increasingly attractive oil alternative due to the fundamental rise in oil prices. Marathon formed a 50/50 joint venture to construct and operate ethanol plants, the first of which will be located in Greenville, Ohio. Marathon is already quite experienced with ethanol blending with 15 years of experience underneath its belt. [8]

[edit] Fluctuating oil prices

Higher oil prices translate into higher profits for Marathon, but market fluctuations make it difficult to know for certain what the oil outlook will be like.

The market price for oil depends largely on world oil supply, so the actions of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) have a huge impact on oil prices. OPEC accounts for approximately 40% of the world's crude oil supply and can increase or decrease the amount of oil on the market to maintain attractive oil prices for its member countries. However, OPEC has been increasingly losing control over the oil market--oversupply from non-OPEC production has cut away at OPEC's influence.

Oil prices may also be hurt the recent spike in interest towards alternative fuels like ethanol (see below, Alternative Energy). Together with oversupply and loss of OPEC control, competing alternative fuels could force a downturn in oil prices. A slowdown in economic growth could also reduce demand for energy and lower oil prices.

[edit] Western Oil Sands Acquisition

On August 1, 2007, Marathon Oil agreed to buy Canada's Western Oil Sands Inc. for $5.46 billion. Marathon said the deal will add 31,000 barrels a day of bitumen output, which is a low-quality tar-like crude produce from Alberta's oil sands which is transformed to high quality oil through an extensive refining process. Production is expected to reach more than 130,000 barrels a day by 2020.

Major oil companies such as ChevronTexaco (CVX) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS'A) are seeking to tap reserves in Canada's oil sands as access to fields outside North America becomes increasingly difficult due to political and social barriers in oil-rich nations such as Russia and Venezuela. In addition, oil-hungry nations such as China and India are outbidding investor-owned producers for fields to secure a steady energy source for their growing economies.[9]

[edit] Environmental Concerns

Fossil fuels, though highly cost-efficient forms of energy, are heavy polluters when burned. Increasing environmental concern over environmental degradation and global climate change is fueling a consumer-driven push away from dirty forms of energy toward cleaner forms like wind energy and solar power. These concerns are also causing political movements, which are leading to increased regulation in the fossil fuels market. Government regulations like emissions caps, renewable energy subsidies, and carbon trading schemes all facilitate transitions away from dirty, nonrenewable fuels. Natural gas is being touted by a number of sources (few of them environmental advocates) as "the" alternative to oil and coal. While natural gas does burn more cleanly than either oil or coal, and releases fewer greenhouse gases than either, natural gas is still a carbon-emitter. The current international focus on slowing carbon emissions is very likely to slow the market for both oil and natural gas, hurting Hess's business immensely.

[edit] Marathon Often has to Pay Recompense for Environmental Damages

Every stage of oil production, refining, and use have aspects that are damaging to the environment. Drilling leads to deforestation and groundwater contamination on land and coastal ecosystem damage offshore, refining leads to chemicals being released into groundwater and harmful fumes being released into the air, and the burning of oil and its products leads to the release of particulate emissions and greenhouse gases into the air. When the environmental damages caused by Marathon's operations occur to the extent that they break environmental protection laws, the company is often sued by NGOs or government agencies like the Environmental Protection Agency. These lawsuits are usually settled out of court; on May 7th, 2008, for example, Marathon, Shell, ConocoPhillips, Chevron, BP, Valero, and Sunoco agreed to pay $423 million in damages for contaminating groundwater with methyl tertiary butyl ether, an oxygenate used to increase octane levels in gasoline that has been replaced in recent years with ethanol. Exxon Mobil, along with five other companies named in the lawsuit, are not settling and will continue to contest.

[edit] Alternative energy threat

The rise of petroleum prices has been slowly countered by the increasing financial feasibility of alternative energy replacements for traditional oil products. Alternative energy is still some years off from widespread adoption; alternative energy challenges like low production volume, low of production efficiency, and lack of infrastructure (some new fuels require distribution infrastructure separate from existing oil pipelines) all have yet to be overcome. However, energy sources such as ethanol, solar or wind end up taking off, the negative impact on the oil and gas industry could be huge.

[edit] Competition

Companies in the oil and energy sector operate and compete with each other in different areas, such as chemicals, refining, oil exploration, etc. Marathon faces direct competition from companies, such as BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Marathon Oil (MRO), Motiva Enterprises, Sunoco etc.

Company Proved Reserves 2006YE (MM boe) Reserve Life (Reserves/Production) Oil & Gas Production (1000s boe/d) 2006 Oil & Gas Production Growth (%) 2006
Marathon[10] 857 6.2 377 9.0
Hess[11] 1,243 7.9 359 7.0
ChevronTexaco[12] 11,620 10.9 2,667 6.1
ExxonMobil[13] 23,406 23.14 2,771 (1.7)
ConocoPhillips[14] 7,881 11.8 1,818 28.0



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      [edit] References

      1. MRO's 2006 Annual Report (Page 6)
      2. MRO's 2006 Annual Report (Page 6)
      3. MRO's Corporate Factsheet
      4. MRO's 2006 Annual Report (Page 10)
      5. MRO's 2006 Annual Report (Page 4)
      6. MRO's 2006 Annual Report (Page 4)
      7. MRO's 2006 Annual Report (Page 4)
      8. Marathon Oil Plans Ethanol Venture
      9. Bloomberg News, Aug, 1 2007 - Marathon Oil to buy Western Oil Sands
      10. Marathon Oil's 2006 Annual Report (Page 8)
      11. Hess' 2006 Annual Report (Page 3)
      12. CVX's 2006 Annual Report (Page 5)
      13. XOM's 2006 Annual Report (Page 90)
      14. COP's 2006 Annual Report (Page 186)
      15. 2007 HES, 10-k, item 6, Pg 17
      16. 2007 MRO, 10-k, item 7, Pg 50
      17. 2007 MRO, 10-k, item 6, Pg 36
      18. 2007 PCZ, 40-F, Ex 99.1, Pg 77
      19. 2007 PCZ, 40-F, Pg 65
      20. 2007 SUN, 10-k, Ex 13, Pg 11
      21. 2007 SUN, 10-k, Ex 13, Pg 41
      22. 2007 VLO, 10-k, item 7, Pg 25
      23. 2007 VLO, 10-k, item 8, Pg 55
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